ONE LEVEL DEEPER
CPRTCopart, Inc.
IndustrialsSpecialty Business Services
Analysis generated March 2026 · Data through Jan 2026

Current ratio hit 10.06 while ROA fell to 3.3% — maximum safety achieved minimum returns below treasury yields.

Graham framework
Neutral

Market expects 4.71% perpetual growth from a business destroying value with 3.09% ROIC vs 9.24% WACC.

Mauboussin framework
Leaning Bearish
1
THE BUSINESS MODEL

What does this company do and how does it make money?

Service revenue: 85.4% of total — auction fees from insurance and commercial clients
Product revenue: 14.6% — direct vehicle sales through BluCar channel
Net margins: 31.3% in Q1'26 — exceptionally profitable fee-based model
Geographic mix: 83.0% domestic US revenue, 17.0% international
Revenue concentration: Herfindahl index of 7,507 indicates high segment concentration

Copart runs online vehicle auctions, primarily earning fees from insurance companies disposing of salvage vehicles. The 85.4% service revenue concentration creates predictable, high-margin cash flows, while minimal international exposure limits growth but reduces complexity.

Revenue by Segment
2
WHAT THE LEGENDS SEE

Five legendary investment frameworks analyzed this company.

Five legends examined Copart's $5.1 billion cash hoard earning 3.3% versus 4.33% treasuries — Graham called it 'tragic irony,' while Mauboussin calculated that growth itself destroys value when ROIC sits at 3.09% versus 9.24% WACC. Tap any framework below to explore their complete analysis.

Benjamin Graham framework
The Value Architect
Neutral
Warren Buffett framework
The Owner-Operator
Leaning Bearish
Peter Lynch framework
The Everyday Edge
Leaning Bearish
Howard Marks framework
The Cycle Whisperer
Leaning Bearish
Michael Mauboussin framework
The Expectations Engineer
Leaning Bearish
3
FOLLOW THE MONEY

How much cash does it generate and where does it go?

Cash position: $5.1 billion in Q1'26 with minimal debt
Capital allocation: 54.6% of operating cash to capex, 171% to buybacks in Q1'26
Share repurchases: $218 million in Q1'26 after several quarters of no buybacks
Free cash flow: Positive but declining — down 26.2% during AI rotation 2024
SBC impact: 0.91% of revenue in Q1'26 — minimal dilution

Despite strong cash generation, the company struggles to deploy capital productively, accumulating $5.1 billion while ROA sits at 3.3%. The resumption of buybacks at 171% of operating cash flow signals management recognizes the cash accumulation problem but lacks better investment alternatives.

Capital Allocation
4
CHECK THE TREND

Is the business getting stronger or weaker?

Revenue growth: 2.4% TTM — decelerated from 17.05% in Q2'21
ROIC vs WACC: 3.09% vs 9.24% in Q1'26 — destroying value for five years
Operating margins: Stable above 34% despite revenue deceleration
ROA trajectory: Declined to 10-year low of 3.3% in Q1'26
ROE trajectory: Collapsed from 20.7% peak to 3.6% in Q1'26

The business maintains pricing power with stable 34%+ operating margins, but growth has stalled at 2.4% while returns on capital have collapsed. ROIC below WACC for five consecutive years means each dollar retained destroys shareholder value.

ROIC vs Cost of Capital
5
KNOW THE RISKS

What could go wrong and has it survived trouble before?

Operating leverage: 3.0 coefficient — 1% revenue decline triggers 3% operating income drop
Insider activity: Net selling in 16 of last 20 quarters, 219,376 shares sold over 4 quarters
Worst stress test: Rate shock 2022 caused 82.9% FCF decline, recovered in 1 quarter
Service concentration: 85.4% of revenue from single business line
Current drawdown: 47.7% from May 2025 peak, still declining after 216 days

High operating leverage amplifies any revenue weakness, as shown when a 2.9% revenue decline triggered an 8.8% operating income drop in Q1'26. The consistent insider selling pattern over 16 quarters suggests those closest to the business see limited upside at current valuations.

Insider Net Buying/Selling
INSTITUTIONAL FLOW
Norges Bank opened a $570M position
ACCUMULATING8/10 long-term · avg 50 qtrs
160new1,002existing1,162holders-17 net985staying177exited
Latest 13F filings · 2025-12-31 · 81.1% institutional ownership
INTERACTIVE
How would Copart, Inc.'s worst drawdowns feel?
INVESTED
$10,000
BOTTOM
$8,970
$1,030 lost. Recovery: 27 days.

Current ratio of 10.06 represents maximum financial strength paired with minimum capital efficiency — CPRT holds $5.1 billion earning 3.3% while treasuries yield 4.33%.

6
CHECK THE PRICE

Is the stock priced for perfection, fair value, or pessimism?

Earnings yield: 0.89% vs 4.33% treasury yield — negative 3.44% risk premium
P/E ratio: 28x for a business growing revenue at 2.4%
DCF assessment: Trading 31.6% above fair value of $25.37
Market implied growth: 4.71% perpetual vs 2.4% actual — expectations double reality
Analyst accuracy: Miss earnings 12.8% of quarters with optimistic bias

The market prices CPRT for 4.71% perpetual growth despite 2.4% actual growth, creating a 31.6% premium to DCF fair value. An earnings yield of 0.89% versus 4.33% treasuries means investors accept negative risk premiums, betting on acceleration that hasn't materialized.

Expectations Gap: DCF vs Market
DCF FAIR VALUE
$25
32% premium
MARKET PRICE
$33
Price implies 4.7% growth · Trailing: 2.4%
INTERACTIVE
Earnings Surprise Roulette
What type of surprise moves the stock most? Tap to find out.

Analysis applies published investment frameworks to publicly available financial data. Educational purposes only. Not financial advice.

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