ONE LEVEL DEEPER
CMCSA
Warren Buffett frameworkThe Owner-OperatorBenjamin Graham frameworkThe Value ArchitectMichael Mauboussin frameworkThe Expectations EngineerHoward Marks frameworkThe Cycle WhispererPeter Lynch frameworkThe Everyday Edge

91.8% below DCF fair value with 5.0% FCF yield—Graham would recognize Mr. Market's depression creating opportunity.

cautiousLeaning Bullishconviction

This framework sees a business trading below intrinsic value with fortress-like cash generation, yet Mr. Market fixates on margin compression while ignoring the safety in the price.

THE LENSES
THE MARGIN OF SAFETYprotected

Does the price protect me from permanent loss of capital?

Trading at $27.93 vs DCF fair value implying 91.8% undervaluation
P/E of 12.9x at 43rd percentile of 10-year range
EV/EBITDA of 27.14x at 18th percentile of historical range
Free cash flow yield of 5.0% at 98th percentile, highest in 10 years

This framework suggests substantial margin of safety. The market prices in -13.4% perpetual decline, yet the business generates $5.1B quarterly free cash flow. Even if earnings halve, the current price offers protection.

P/E Ratio
EARNINGS YIELD VS BONDSinsufficient

Does the equity risk premium justify owning stocks over bonds?

Earnings yield of 1.94% vs 4.33% treasury yield
239 basis point negative spread to risk-free rate
Q4'25 revenue growth of 3.6% YoY suggests modest expansion

Applying this lens reveals inadequate current yield versus bonds. However, with revenue growing and substantial buybacks reducing share count, the earnings yield should improve over time unlike a fixed coupon.

Earnings Yield
THE EARNINGS RECORDproven

Has management demonstrated consistent earnings over many years?

Beat earnings estimates in 36 of 39 quarters (92% beat rate)
Net income of $2.0B in Q4'25, with spike to $11.1B in Q2'25
Operating income declined 37% YoY to $3.5B in Q4'25
EPS of $0.55 in Q4'25

This framework recognizes exceptional consistency in beating expectations across 10 years. Despite recent margin pressure, the company maintains profitability and cash generation, meeting Graham's requirement for demonstrated earnings power.

Earnings Per Share
BALANCE SHEET FORTRESSadequate

Can this company survive a prolonged downturn?

Interest coverage ratio of 3.1x in Q4'25
Current ratio of 0.78x and quick ratio of 0.78x
Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.89x in Q4'25
Operating cash flow of $8.8B exceeds net income by 4.5x

This framework finds adequate but not exceptional balance sheet strength. Interest coverage remains sufficient though at historical lows. Strong cash generation provides cushion, but leverage limits financial flexibility.

Interest Coverage
KEY NUMBERS
VERDICT

Applying the Graham framework reveals a classic value situation: substantial cash generation trading at distressed prices because Mr. Market obsesses over margin compression. The 5.0% free cash flow yield provides significant margin of safety, while the proven earnings record and crisis resilience suggest the business will endure. This framework suggests the price more than compensates for the risks. Is Mr. Market creating opportunity through excessive pessimism about cable's future?

This analysis applies Benjamin Graham's published investment framework to publicly available financial data. It is not authored by, endorsed by, or affiliated with Benjamin Graham. Educational purposes only. Not financial advice.

OTHER PERSPECTIVES
Howard Marks framework
The Cycle Whisperer
Bullish
Michael Mauboussin framework
The Expectations Engineer
Neutral
Warren Buffett framework
The Owner-Operator
Leaning Bearish
Peter Lynch framework
The Everyday Edge
Bearish
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